How much revenue did MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury make?

$124k–$334k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury sell?

Q: How many copies did MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury sell?

23k to 37k copies, based on its 911 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–37k; $124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut; from 911 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–32k

best case 821k (Summer Memories)

Games like MECHANICA: A Ballad of the Rabbit and Mercury

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–32k copies

≈ $23k–$193k after Steam's cut

from ~606 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Summer Memories at ≈ 625k–1.0M copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 208 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sexual Content (8 of 8) and Nudity (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Hentai + Mature + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Summer Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M 42x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Pleasure Puzzle:Sexy Girls 趣拼拼：性感少女 2018	Est. copies ≈ 8k–12k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$0.99	247 reviews Very Positive	NudityTabletop
VillageRhapsody 2023	Est. copies ≈ 404k–657k 27x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Workplace Rhapsody 2021	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentMature
Succumate 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $105k–$282k after Steam's cut $191k–$433k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentPixel Graphics
Club Naughty 2016	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before Steam's cut	$24.99	161 reviews Mostly Negative	Sexual ContentNudity
TRATRITLE 2022	Est. copies ≈ 21k–34k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $114k–$307k after Steam's cut $208k–$473k before Steam's cut	$19.99	838 reviews Very Positive	ComedyMature
Wife of My Boss 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut	$4.99	374 reviews Mixed	Sexual ContentHentai