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How many copies did Succumate sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$105k–$282k after Steam's cut $191k–$433k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Succumate and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Succumate's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 548k–863k
best case 2.0M (HuniePop)
Games like Succumate

A typical game among these

≈ 548k–863k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: HuniePop at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Nudity (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Dating Sim + Match 3; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
Crush Crush
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Sakura Clicker
2015
Est. copies
≈ 698k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
NudityFree to Play
Hentai Girl
2018
Est. copies
≈ 431k–700k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$117k–$315k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before Steam's cut
$0.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 414k–672k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiSexual Content
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Catherine Classic
2019
Est. copies
≈ 326k–530k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.