How much revenue did NEKOPARA Vol. 3 make?

$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did NEKOPARA Vol. 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did NEKOPARA Vol. 3 sell?

414k to 672k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 414k–672k; $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NEKOPARA Vol. 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NEKOPARA Vol. 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–10.4M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like NEKOPARA Vol. 3

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–10.4M copies

≈ $5.3M–$26.9M after Steam's cut

from ~136k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 64k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (6 of 8) and Sexual Content (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 7.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.3M before Steam's cut	$15.99	58k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorAnime
MiSide 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	143k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological HorrorCute