How much revenue did NEKOPARA Vol. 0 make?

$715k–$1.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did NEKOPARA Vol. 0 sell?

Q: How many copies did NEKOPARA Vol. 0 sell?

869k to 1.4M copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 869k–1.4M; $715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NEKOPARA Vol. 0 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NEKOPARA Vol. 0's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.4M–11.2M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like NEKOPARA Vol. 0

A typical game among these

≈ 6.4M–11.2M copies

≈ $80.2M–$90.9M after Steam's cut

from ~229k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (4 of 8) and Dark (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Software + Design & Illustration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	396k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	156k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
Devil May Cry 5 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.9M–8.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $40.6M–$109.2M after Steam's cut $73.9M–$168.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	171k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionHack and Slash