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How many copies did Trap Arena sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$435–$1k after Steam's cut $790–$2k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trap Arena and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trap Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 472–798
best case 449k (DR LIVESEY ROM AND DEATH EDITION)
Games like Trap Arena

A typical game among these

≈ 472–798 copies

≈ $274–$519 after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: DR LIVESEY ROM AND DEATH EDITION at ≈ 342k–556k copies, ≈ $282k–$757k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and Hero Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shoot 'Em Up + Action Roguelike, priced around $7.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Black Gunner Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$9.99
487 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
X8
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
198 reviews
Very Positive
VRHero Shooter
The Arena Guy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$218 after Steam's cut $148–$335 before Steam's cut
$0.99
12 reviews
Mixed
Arena ShooterAction
The Last Fighter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerHero Shooter
Infected City
2021
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$216–$581 after Steam's cut $393–$894 before Steam's cut
$0.99
32 reviews
Mixed
IndieAdventure
Rescue Operation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
18x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$3.99
298 reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
illWill
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$44k–$117k after Steam's cut $79k–$180k before Steam's cut
$19.99
320 reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
DR LIVESEY ROM AND DEATH EDITION
2023
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
812x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$282k–$757k after Steam's cut $512k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCartoon

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.