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How many copies did PaintBall War 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
from 115 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PaintBall War 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PaintBall War 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–2.8M
best case 9.2M (theHunter: Call of the Wild™)
Games like PaintBall War 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–2.8M copies

≈ $21.4M–$21.7M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: theHunter: Call of the Wild™ at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Sports; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
theHunter Classic
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayHunting
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
Steep™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
SportsOpen World
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
FishingFree to Play
Train Simulator Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationTrains

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