How much revenue did Train Simulator Classic make?

$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Train Simulator Classic sell?

Q: How many copies did Train Simulator Classic sell?

1.4M to 2.3M copies, based on its 29k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.4M–2.3M; $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before Steam's cut; from 29k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Train Simulator Classic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Train Simulator Classic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 583k–1.4M

best case 7.7M (Factorio)

Games like Train Simulator Classic

A typical game among these

≈ 583k–1.4M copies

≈ $6.4M–$19.1M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Factorio at ≈ 5.9M–9.5M copies, ≈ $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 86k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (6 of 8) and Building (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
OpenTTD 2021	Est. copies ≈ 422k–686k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding
Stormworks: Build and Rescue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	60k reviews Very Positive	SandboxBase-Building
Transport Fever 2016	Est. copies ≈ 452k–734k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Very Positive	FlightCity Builder
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic 2024	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	27k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Transport Fever 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 950k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	33k reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
shapez 2 - Factory 2026	Est. copies ≈ 385k–625k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ManagementStrategy
Mini Metro 2015	Est. copies ≈ 819k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyPuzzle