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How many copies did OpenTTD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422k–686k
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OpenTTD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OpenTTD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.2M–12.2M
best case 12.3M (Raft)
Games like OpenTTD

A typical game among these

≈ 6.2M–12.2M copies

≈ $53.9M–$170.8M after Steam's cut

from ~225k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Raft at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 122k reviews in their first month; the range was 951 to 182k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (6 of 8) and Building (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
Scrap Mechanic
2026
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$28.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World

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