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How many copies did Transport Fever 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 950k–1.5M
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut
from 33k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Transport Fever 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Transport Fever 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 583k–4.9M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like Transport Fever 2

A typical game among these

≈ 583k–4.9M copies

≈ $4.3M–$70.5M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Management (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Railway Empire
2018
Est. copies
≈ 296k–480k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Mini Motorways
2021
Est. copies
≈ 607k–986k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategySimulation
OpenTTD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422k–686k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Cities: Skylines II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.5M–$84.7M after Steam's cut $57.3M–$130.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
92k reviews
Mixed
Mini Metro
2015
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyPuzzle
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Transport Fever
2016
Est. copies
≈ 452k–734k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
FlightCity Builder
American Truck Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$45.0M–$120.9M after Steam's cut $81.7M–$186.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
197k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Automobile SimDriving

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