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How many copies did Lost Scavenger sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
from 244 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost Scavenger and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Scavenger's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 151k–338k
best case 421k (ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game)
Games like Lost Scavenger

A typical game among these

≈ 151k–338k copies

≈ $1.0M–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game at ≈ 321k–522k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 694 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (5 of 7) and Survival (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with CRPG + Exploration, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Age 2: The Zombie Survival RPG
2021
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$165k–$442k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut
$17.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
ZombiesParty-Based RPG
Dead Age
2016
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$962k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RPGZombies
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
Dead State: Reanimated
2014
Est. copies
≈ 144k–233k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
ZombiesSurvival
SKYHILL
2015
Est. copies
≈ 282k–459k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$775k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAction Roguelike
Encased: A Sci-Fi Post-Apocalyptic RPG
2021
Est. copies
≈ 119k–194k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
CRPGTurn-Based Combat
ATOM RPG Trudograd
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$334k–$897k after Steam's cut $607k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$10.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.