How much revenue did SKYHILL make?

$775k–$2.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SKYHILL sell?

Q: How many copies did SKYHILL sell?

282k to 459k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 282k–459k; $775k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SKYHILL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SKYHILL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 654k–2.4M

best case 12.4M (Deep Rock Galactic)

Games like SKYHILL

A typical game among these

≈ 654k–2.4M copies

≈ $3.8M–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rogue-like (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 40k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (4 of 8) and Action Roguelike (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dwarf + Co-op, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Dwarf + Co-op + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op
Realm of the Mad God Exalt 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	48k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
ALTF4 2021	Est. copies ≈ 268k–435k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut	$2.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	RunnerPhysics
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Exanima 2015	Est. copies ≈ 683k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	PhysicsRPG
The Binding of Isaac 2011	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut	$4.99	63k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Tribes of Midgard 2021	Est. copies ≈ 577k–938k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftOnline Co-Op
Death Road to Canada 2016	Est. copies ≈ 438k–712k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsZombies