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How many copies did ALTF4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 268k–435k
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
from 11k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ALTF4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ALTF4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 155k (Orbt XL)
Games like ALTF4

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $473–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~50 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Orbt XL at ≈ 118k–192k copies, ≈ $32k–$86k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 429.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Runner (6 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Comedy + Fantasy, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Fantasy + Funny + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dodge It! Online
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
70 reviews
Mixed
Massively MultiplayerParkour
Leaper
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
48 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerRunner
ALTF42
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$7.99
575 reviews
Mostly Positive
ComedyFantasy
JUMP de PON
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
51 reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerAction
Run Pizza Run
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$4.99
101 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationComedy
Keep Up
2023
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$149–$400 after Steam's cut $270–$615 before Steam's cut
$0.99
22 reviews
Positive
SingleplayerRunner
Race To Sanity
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$256–$690 after Steam's cut $466–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
38 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRacing
Orbt XL
2017
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
69x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$133k before Steam's cut
$0.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeDifficult

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.