How much revenue did Orbt XL make?

$32k–$86k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Orbt XL sell?

Q: How many copies did Orbt XL sell?

118k to 192k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 118k–192k; $32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$133k before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Orbt XL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Orbt XL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 395k–833k

best case 6.5M (Balatro)

Games like Orbt XL

A typical game among these

≈ 395k–833k copies

≈ $1.1M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Procedural Generation (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Procedural Generation (3 of 8) and Puzzle (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Melatonin 2022	Est. copies ≈ 203k–330k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $838k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	8k reviews Very Positive	RhythmIndie
Race The Sun 2013	Est. copies ≈ 402k–653k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Procedural GenerationRunner
LYNE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 462k–750k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $690k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$2.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleLogic
Katamari Damacy REROLL 2018	Est. copies ≈ 203k–330k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackCasual
Superflight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 399k–648k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $328k–$881k after Steam's cut $596k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$2.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FlightIndie
Cat Goes Fishing 2015	Est. copies ≈ 808k–1.3M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$6.99	17k reviews Very Positive	FishingCats
Peggle Deluxe 2007	Est. copies ≈ 921k–1.5M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CasualPuzzle
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 24x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder