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How many copies did Run Pizza Run sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 101 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Run Pizza Run and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Run Pizza Run's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 270k–617k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like Run Pizza Run

A typical game among these

≈ 270k–617k copies

≈ $2.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dating Sim (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 256 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dating Sim (3 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Sexual Content, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Knowledge, or know Lady
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $779k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentDating Sim
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Biped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 287k–466k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationEmotional
Killer Frequency
2023
Est. copies
≈ 155k–251k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHorror
Cassette Beasts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ControllerComedy
Summer Pockets
2020
Est. copies
≈ 123k–200k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
Outcore: Desktop Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 457k–743k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.