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How big is JUMP de PON?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 51 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid JUMP de PON and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including JUMP de PON's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–6.8M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like JUMP de PON

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–6.8M copies

≈ $12.5M–$21.7M after Steam's cut

from ~112k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 50k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Parkour (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
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Free to PlayBattle Royale
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Crab Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
151k reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
Refunct
2015
Est. copies
≈ 852k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$2.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Spyro™ Reignited Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 645k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.1M–$19.1M after Steam's cut $12.9M–$29.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerAdventure
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive

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