How much revenue did Seedlings make?

$7k–$18k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Seedlings sell?

Q: How many copies did Seedlings sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 96 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut; from 96 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Seedlings and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Seedlings's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 790–10k

best case 16.5M (Portal)

Games like Seedlings

A typical game among these

≈ 790–10k copies

≈ $1k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~79 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 137.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $11. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Sci-fi + Comedy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pretty Girls 2048 Strike 2022	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $763–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$6.99	16 reviews Positive	CasualArcade
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M 2541x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
SuiCats 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	108 reviews Very Positive	CasualArcade
Hourglass 2021	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $55k–$148k after Steam's cut $100k–$228k before Steam's cut	$19.99	404 reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
LIMBO 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M 792x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut	$12.49	62k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Path of Kami: Journey Begins 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	49 reviews Positive	3D PlatformerExploration
Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales 2021	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$0.99	364 reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Brotate 2021	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut	$0.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	CasualPlatformer