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How many copies did Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 364 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 58k–305k
best case 1.8M (Trine 2: Complete Story)
Games like Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales

A typical game among these

≈ 58k–305k copies

≈ $194k–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Trine 2: Complete Story at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 890 reviews in their first month; the range was 463 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

KarmaZoo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$97k–$260k after Steam's cut $176k–$400k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual
Tukoni: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureCasual
Trine 2: Complete Story
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Eryi's Action
2013
Est. copies
≈ 88k–143k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$121k–$325k after Steam's cut $219k–$499k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerPlatformer
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Laughing to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 82k–133k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$113k–$302k after Steam's cut $205k–$465k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureCasual
Mind Over Magnet
2024
Est. copies
≈ 35k–58k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$97k–$262k after Steam's cut $177k–$403k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Braid, Anniversary Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$258k–$694k after Steam's cut $469k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-Platformer2D Platformer

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