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How many copies did BURNT ASHES sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$51–$138 after Steam's cut $93–$212 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BURNT ASHES and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BURNT ASHES's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 181k–437k
best case 512k (Bomb Rush Cyberfunk)
Games like BURNT ASHES

A typical game among these

≈ 181k–437k copies

≈ $1.1M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Bomb Rush Cyberfunk at ≈ 390k–634k copies, ≈ $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 6k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (4 of 8) and Walking Simulator (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Parkour, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

机械兽:进化(Mechanical beast: Evolution)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$272–$735 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$7.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Exo One
2021
Est. copies
≈ 131k–213k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$612k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Boulder Island
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before Steam's cut
$9.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
AdventureAction
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk
2023
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action3D Platformer
Yooka-Laylee
2017
Est. copies
≈ 186k–302k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerCollectathon
Insect: Bombardier beetle
2020
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$220 after Steam's cut $148–$338 before Steam's cut
$3.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Creature CollectorSingleplayer
SLUDGE LIFE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.