How much revenue did The Talos Principle 2 make?

$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Talos Principle 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did The Talos Principle 2 sell?

333k to 541k copies, based on its 13k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 333k–541k; $2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut; from 13k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Talos Principle 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Talos Principle 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–7.8M

best case 38.8M (Portal 2)

Games like The Talos Principle 2

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–7.8M copies

≈ $27.9M–$45.5M after Steam's cut

from ~126k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 64k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Inscryption 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerCard Game
MiSide 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	143k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological HorrorCute
The Talos Principle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePhilosophical