How much revenue did Outer Wilds make?

$19.1M–$51.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Outer Wilds sell?

Q: How many copies did Outer Wilds sell?

2.8M to 4.5M copies, based on its 105k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.8M–4.5M; $19.1M–$51.3M after Steam's cut $34.7M–$79.0M before the cut; from 105k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Outer Wilds out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outer Wilds's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 344k–811k

best case 1.5M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)

The Sci-fi genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A healthy genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game

≈ 344k–811k copies

≈ $3.0M–$5.1M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Best case

≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies

Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader · ≈ $15.3M–$41.2M after Steam's cut

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Sci-fi (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $50.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

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