How much revenue did The Invincible make?

$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Invincible sell?

Q: How many copies did The Invincible sell?

341k to 554k copies, based on its 14k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 341k–554k; $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut; from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Invincible and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Invincible's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 672k–1.5M

best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)

Games like The Invincible

A typical game among these

≈ 672k–1.5M copies

≈ $10.6M–$34.3M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Sci-fi (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
BATTLETECH 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut $20.2M–$46.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	33k reviews Very Positive	MechsStrategy
The Surge 2017	Est. copies ≈ 423k–688k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Mostly Positive	Souls-likeAction
Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	30k reviews Mixed	ActionFPS
Detroit: Become Human 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 8.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	264k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 309k–501k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	6k reviews Mostly Negative	MultiplayerFPS
The Callisto Protocol™ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	44k reviews Mixed	HorrorSci-fi
Terminator: Resistance 2019	Est. copies ≈ 541k–880k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	19k reviews Very Positive	FPSPost-apocalyptic
RoboCop: Rogue City 2023	Est. copies ≈ 931k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction