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How many copies did Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
$20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.6M before Steam's cut
from 30k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 701k–3.4M
best case 15.0M (Call of Duty®: Black Ops III)
Games like Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare

A typical game among these

≈ 701k–3.4M copies

≈ $44.5M–$213.8M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Call of Duty®: Black Ops III at ≈ 11.4M–18.6M copies, ≈ $188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 186 reviews in their first month; the range was 42 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and First-Person (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + FPS, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DOOM 3
2007
Est. copies
≈ 534k–868k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAction
Aeon
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$66k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before Steam's cut
$9.99
260 reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSAction
TimeShifters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$4.99
176 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade
Wandering in Space VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$14.99
214 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessGore
Blacklight: Retribution
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Half-Life: Alyx
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.2M–$116.1M after Steam's cut $78.5M–$178.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
106k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRFPS
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 309k–501k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
6k reviews
Mostly Negative
MultiplayerFPS
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies

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