How much revenue did Half-Life: Alyx make?

$45.6M–$122.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Half-Life: Alyx sell?

Q: How many copies did Half-Life: Alyx sell?

2.8M to 4.5M copies, based on its 105k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.8M–4.5M; $45.6M–$122.5M after Steam's cut $82.9M–$188.5M before the cut; from 105k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Half-Life: Alyx out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Half-Life: Alyx's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–11.8M

best case 52.4M (War Thunder)

The VR genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game

≈ 3.3M–11.8M copies

≈ $59.7M–$83.4M after Steam's cut

from ~138k reviews

Best case

≈ 40.0M–64.9M copies

War Thunder

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on VR (6 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2021, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

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