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How many copies did The Talos Principle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
$14.1M–$38.0M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.4M before the cut
from 33k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Talos Principle out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Talos Principle's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34.1M–46.3M
best case 664.3M (Counter-Strike 2)
The First-Person genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 34.1M–46.3M copies
≈ $223.3M–$373.4M after Steam's cut
from ~982k reviews
Best case
≈ 506.1M–822.5M copies
Counter-Strike 2
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (5 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Action + Crime + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2020, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 96.0M–156.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 506.1M–822.5M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.7M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 36.8M–59.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$202.4M–$544.3M after Steam's cut $368.1M–$837.4M before the cut
$19.99
921k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 65.1M–105.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$178.7M–$480.5M after Steam's cut $324.9M–$739.2M before the cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 27.9M–45.4M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25.4M–41.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$418.4M–$1125.0M after Steam's cut $760.8M–$1730.7M before the cut
$59.99
961k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 22.0M–35.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$121.1M–$325.6M after Steam's cut $220.2M–$500.9M before the cut
$19.99
834k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities

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