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How many copies did Railroad Ink Challenge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 103 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Railroad Ink Challenge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Railroad Ink Challenge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 191–220
best case 3k (Forests, Fields and Fortresses)
Games like Railroad Ink Challenge

A typical game among these

≈ 191–220 copies

≈ $735–$956 after Steam's cut

from ~6 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Forests, Fields and Fortresses at ≈ 2k–3k copies, ≈ $3k–$7k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 16.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Solitaire (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + City Builder, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Strategy + Board Game + God Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Forests, Fields and Fortresses
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$4.99
81 reviews
Very Positive
CasualStrategy
Laruaville 7 - Match 3 Adventure
2019
Est. copies
≈ 144–234
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$395–$1k after Steam's cut $719–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
SUBARACITY
2019
Est. copies
≈ 749–1k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Mixed
SolitaireCasual
Laruaville 12
2022
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$478–$1k after Steam's cut $869–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Laruaville 13 Match 3 Puzzle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$265–$715 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
$12.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Match 3Hidden Object
Cursed House 10 - Match 3 Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
SokobanMatch 3
Spellarium 10
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$622–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$12.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Match 3Casual
Cursed House 13
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$532–$1k after Steam's cut $968–$2k before Steam's cut
$12.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
CasualMatch 3

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.