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How many copies did Midnight Ohota sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 521–846
$142–$381 after Steam's cut $258–$586 before Steam's cut
from 21 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Midnight Ohota and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Midnight Ohota's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 163–19k
best case 91k (Aerofly FS 2 Flight Simulator)
Games like Midnight Ohota

A typical game among these

≈ 163–19k copies

≈ $353–$370k after Steam's cut

from ~19 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Aerofly FS 2 Flight Simulator at ≈ 70k–113k copies, ≈ $958k–$2.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 45 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight + Simulation, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zero-G VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
$4.99
138 reviews
Mixed
SimulationAdventure
Tunnel Blast
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $61–$140 before Steam's cut
$0.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionFlight
Aerofly FS 2 Flight Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
110x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$958k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
FlightSimulation
Ultimate Flight Simulator Pro
2023
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$210–$563 after Steam's cut $381–$866 before Steam's cut
$0.99
31 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
RealFlight Evolution
2022
Est. copies
≈ 40k–66k
88x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$69.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
Xtreme Aces Racing
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$14.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Combat RacingFlight
PERCNOPS VIRTUAL RIG
2022
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$29.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
RacingSimulation
Sky Mad
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionRacing

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