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How many copies did Afterlove EP sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut
from 212 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Afterlove EP and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Afterlove EP's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 377k–969k
best case 1.3M (The Coffin of Andy and Leyley)
Games like Afterlove EP

A typical game among these

≈ 377k–969k copies

≈ $2.6M–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Coffin of Andy and Leyley at ≈ 982k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 637 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological + Dark Comedy, priced around $12.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Ken Follett's The Pillars of the Earth
2017
Est. copies
≈ 262k–425k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 181k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 443k–720k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG
Night in the Woods
2017
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Suzerain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelChoose Your Own Adventure
Pyre
2017
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
IndieRPG

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