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How many copies did Suzerain sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 296k–481k
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Suzerain and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Suzerain's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–34k
best case 595k (Long Live The Queen)
Games like Suzerain

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–34k copies

≈ $20k–$300k after Steam's cut

from ~247 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Long Live The Queen at ≈ 453k–736k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 75 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 291.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Political Sim, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Choose Your Own AdventureVR
Ishmael
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Free
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≈ 20k–33k
3.3x vs typical
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Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel
KingSim
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Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
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Strategy RPGChoose Your Own Adventure
Socialism Simulator
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Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
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284 reviews
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Turn-Based TacticsPolitical Sim
Long Live The Queen
2013
Est. copies
≈ 453k–736k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelPolitical Sim
Song of Farca
2021
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
6.8x vs typical
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$231k–$620k after Steam's cut $419k–$954k before Steam's cut
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Choices MatterStory Rich
The Divine Deception
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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41 reviews
Positive
Visual NovelGambling

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