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How many copies did The Alien Way sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Alien Way and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Alien Way's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49k–163k
best case 255k (BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien)
Games like The Alien Way

A typical game among these

≈ 49k–163k copies

≈ $94k–$809k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien at ≈ 195k–316k copies, ≈ $802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 508 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and Precision Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Naginata
2020
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Super Meat Boy Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
IndieAction
Hans
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut
$4.99
794 reviews
Very Positive
Man in gravity
2020
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$24.99
25 reviews
Mixed
CasualExperimental
Star Speeder
2018
Est. copies
≈ 304–494
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$83–$222 after Steam's cut $150–$342 before Steam's cut
$0.99
10 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRacing
Astrofall
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before Steam's cut
$3.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualSpace
Laika
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$128–$345 after Steam's cut $233–$531 before Steam's cut
$0.99
19 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessPhysics

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