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How many copies did Paint Drying Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 407 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paint Drying Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paint Drying Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–50k
best case 158k (Chill Pulse)
Games like Paint Drying Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–50k copies

≈ $7k–$96k after Steam's cut

from ~308 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Chill Pulse at ≈ 120k–195k copies, ≈ $165k–$443k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 74 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 930.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Utilities (8 of 8) and Idler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Simulation, priced around $5.
When they shipped
6 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cozy Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut
$7.99
290 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
The Legend of Pomodoro
2026
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$6.99
97 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIdler
LurkBait Twitch Fishing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$124k before Steam's cut
$7.00
627 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCreature Collector
Cozy Time
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$2.99
326 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Hot Springs | 温泉 (Onsen)
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$3.99
55 reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerUtilities
Chill Pulse
2024
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$165k–$443k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualUtilities
Ropuka's Idle Island
2025
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$486k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IdlerRelaxing
功德木鱼
2024
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
36 reviews
Positive
CasualSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.