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How many copies did LurkBait Twitch Fishing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–25k
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$124k before Steam's cut
from 627 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LurkBait Twitch Fishing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LurkBait Twitch Fishing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 84k–193k
best case 415k (Luma Island)
Games like LurkBait Twitch Fishing

A typical game among these

≈ 84k–193k copies

≈ $588k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Luma Island at ≈ 316k–514k copies, ≈ $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 854 reviews in their first month; the range was 189 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Creature Collector (5 of 8) and Farming Sim (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Crafting, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Luma Island
2024
Est. copies
≈ 316k–514k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFarming Sim
Chillquarium
2023
Est. copies
≈ 209k–339k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$344k–$925k after Steam's cut $626k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorIdler
Megaquarium
2018
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$793k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualSimulation
Cornerpond
2025
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut
$2.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationIdler
Immortal Life
2024
Est. copies
≈ 108k–176k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$506k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $920k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AgricultureFarming Sim
Rune Factory 3 Special
2023
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$242k–$652k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
889 reviews
Very Positive
Moonstone Island
2023
Est. copies
≈ 126k–205k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$694k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorDeckbuilding
Rune Factory 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$581k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive

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