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How many copies did Rune Factory 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 53k–86k
$581k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rune Factory 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rune Factory 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–86k
best case 1.2M (Fields of Mistria)
Games like Rune Factory 5

A typical game among these

≈ 56k–86k copies

≈ $606k–$861k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fields of Mistria at ≈ 886k–1.4M copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 970 reviews in their first month; the range was 293 to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (7 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Simulation, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Dating Sim + Cute + Romance; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STORY OF SEASONS: A Wonderful Life
2023
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$381k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $693k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRPG
Fae Farm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$736k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sword and Fairy Inn 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 57k–92k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$311k–$836k after Steam's cut $565k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
Wylde Flowers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$472k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $859k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
STORY OF SEASONS: Pioneers of Olive Town
2021
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$449k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $817k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Farming SimCasual
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town
2020
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Cattails: Wildwood Story
2023
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$265k–$713k after Steam's cut $482k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsLife Sim
Fields of Mistria
2026
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$13.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFarming Sim

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