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How many copies did Rune Factory 3 Special sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$242k–$652k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 889 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rune Factory 3 Special and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rune Factory 3 Special's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 141k–197k
best case 1.2M (Against the Storm)
Games like Rune Factory 3 Special

A typical game among these

≈ 141k–197k copies

≈ $1.3M–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Against the Storm at ≈ 934k–1.5M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Dating Sim, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fields of Mistria
2026
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$13.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFarming Sim
Littlewood
2020
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLife Sim
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town
2020
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Roots of Pacha
2023
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$780k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFarming Sim
VillageRhapsody
2023
Est. copies
≈ 404k–657k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Necesse
2025
Est. copies
≈ 727k–1.2M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Fae Farm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$736k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive

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