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How many copies did Heartless Dark sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 471–766
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 19 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heartless Dark and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heartless Dark's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 224k–709k
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like Heartless Dark

A typical game among these

≈ 224k–709k copies

≈ $1.1M–$4.5M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Tiny Rogues
2022
Est. copies
≈ 267k–435k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Voidigo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$168k–$451k after Steam's cut $305k–$694k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Blazing Beaks
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$312k–$839k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction Roguelike
Teleglitch: Die More Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 187k–303k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$667k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Brigador: Up-Armored Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive

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