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How many copies did Dumpy and Bumpy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 967–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 39 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dumpy and Bumpy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dumpy and Bumpy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 15k (DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION)
Games like Dumpy and Bumpy

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $1k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~66 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION at ≈ 11k–18k copies, ≈ $22k–$59k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 120.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Sokoban (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Arcade, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Level Editor + Grid-Based Movement; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sandy's Great Escape
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$9.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$6.99
457 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle2D
Chip's Challenge 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
$4.99
148 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleStrategy
SNIKS
2020
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$714–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
35 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie
SOK PRO
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
66 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSokoban
SokoFrog
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$2.99
110 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanPuzzle
Little Monki
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$277–$744 after Steam's cut $503–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
41 reviews
Positive
CasualSokoban
SokoPenguin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$783–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.49
77 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanPuzzle

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