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How many copies did SNIKS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 868–1k
$714–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 35 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SNIKS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SNIKS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52k–98k
best case 606k (LYNE)
Games like SNIKS

A typical game among these

≈ 52k–98k copies

≈ $40k–$401k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: LYNE at ≈ 462k–750k copies, ≈ $380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 257 reviews in their first month; the range was 58 to 404.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Arcade (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Logic, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DUSK '82: ULTIMATE EDITION
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$6.99
457 reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle2D
hexceed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual
LYNE
2014
Est. copies
≈ 462k–750k
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $690k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$2.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleLogic
Last Call BBS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 40k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$218k–$585k after Steam's cut $396k–$900k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRetro
Chains
2009
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
610 reviews
Mostly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Chip's Challenge 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 48k–77k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
976 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Progressbar95
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualArcade
RetroMaze
2018
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.