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How many copies did Progressbar95 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91k–148k
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Progressbar95 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Progressbar95's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 90k–241k
best case 458k (Nodebuster)
Games like Progressbar95

A typical game among these

≈ 90k–241k copies

≈ $99k–$615k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Nodebuster at ≈ 349k–567k copies, ≈ $287k–$771k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 678 reviews in their first month; the range was 229 to 757.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (3 of 8) and Experimental (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Clicker + Idler, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kukoro: Stream chat games
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$35k–$93k after Steam's cut $63k–$144k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Party GameCollectathon
Music Racer
2018
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $110k–$250k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Nodebuster
2024
Est. copies
≈ 349k–567k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$287k–$771k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualClicker
Will Glow the Wisp
2017
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerBullet Hell
Say No! More
2021
Est. copies
≈ 72k–118k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$298k–$802k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieFunny
The Basement Collection
2012
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$116k–$312k after Steam's cut $211k–$480k before Steam's cut
$3.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
Comedy Night
2017
Est. copies
≈ 320k–519k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualComedy
Heliborne Collection
2017
Est. copies
≈ 139k–225k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
MilitaryFlight

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