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How many copies did Will Glow the Wisp sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 58k–94k
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Will Glow the Wisp and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Will Glow the Wisp's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–13k
best case 14k (BEHEMOTH)
Games like Will Glow the Wisp

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–13k copies

≈ $9k–$46k after Steam's cut

from ~157 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BEHEMOTH at ≈ 11k–17k copies, ≈ $12k–$31k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 258 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (6 of 8) and Shoot 'Em Up (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Bullet Hell, priced around $4.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

2076 - Midway Multiverse
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$19.99
46 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up
Farlight Commanders: Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24 reviews
Mostly Positive
Side ScrollerShooter
BEHEMOTH
2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$3.99
430 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerCasual
Stellar Interface
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $61k–$138k before Steam's cut
$12.99
224 reviews
Mostly Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Tragedy of Prince Rupert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$3.99
90 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Aircraft Evolution
2018
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
$8.99
260 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerFlight
Starr Mazer: DSP
2016
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
$9.99
269 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
Gimel Dimension
2018
Est. copies
≈ 669–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.