How much revenue did Tragedy of Prince Rupert make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tragedy of Prince Rupert sell?

Q: How many copies did Tragedy of Prince Rupert sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 90 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut; from 90 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tragedy of Prince Rupert and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tragedy of Prince Rupert's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5k

best case 341k (Rock of Ages)

Games like Tragedy of Prince Rupert

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–5k copies

≈ $1k–$18k after Steam's cut

from ~91 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Bowling (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rock of Ages at ≈ 259k–422k copies, ≈ $713k–$1.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 37.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bowling (4 of 8) and Sports (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Memes + Co-op, priced around $9. The breakout hits carry Memes + Pixel Graphics + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
HyperBowl 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $637–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$0.99	77 reviews Very Positive	CasualSports
Roxy Raccoon's Bowling Bash 2022	Est. copies ≈ 570–927 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	23 reviews Positive	Bowling3D Platformer
Sparedevil 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut	$11.99	154 reviews Very Positive	FPSAction
VR SUPER SPORTS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$12.99	122 reviews Mixed	SportsAction
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k 19x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$747k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MemesPixel Graphics
Rock of Ages 2011	Est. copies ≈ 259k–422k 45x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $713k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	ComedyStrategy
BOWLOUT 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $597–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$1.99	44 reviews Positive	ActionIndie
BandRoll 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	104 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRhythm