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How big is hexceed?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 69k–112k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid hexceed and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including hexceed's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114–325
best case 680 (Hexa)
Games like hexceed

A typical game among these

≈ 114–325 copies

≈ $50–$508 after Steam's cut

from ~4 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hexa at ≈ 518–842 copies, ≈ $283–$762 after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 10.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hex Grid + Puzzle, priced around $2.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Darwins Trash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$272–$733 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$5.00
8 reviews
8 user reviews
HorrorMystery Dungeon
Hexa
2019
Est. copies
≈ 518–842
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$283–$762 after Steam's cut $515–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
18 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie
Hexagun
2019
Est. copies
≈ 115–187
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$221–$595 after Steam's cut $402–$915 before Steam's cut
$6.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Hex GridMatch 3
SparkleWand Puzzle
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
$1.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
CasualPuzzle
Minesweeper Madness
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
PuzzleLogic
Gem Blast
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
MiningStrategy
Free-Bees
2025
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$436–$1k after Steam's cut $792–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
16 reviews
Positive
ArcadeLevel Editor
Hexis
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before Steam's cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
CasualCo-op

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