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How many copies did Darwins Trash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$272–$733 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Darwins Trash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Darwins Trash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 598–2k
best case 15k (Spooky Station)
Games like Darwins Trash

A typical game among these

≈ 598–2k copies

≈ $3k–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~31 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Spooky Station at ≈ 12k–19k copies, ≈ $16k–$43k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 42.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arcade + Rogue-like, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$14.99
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Negative
HorrorMultiplayer
Phantom 3D
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≈ 259–421
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$355–$956 after Steam's cut $646–$1k before Steam's cut
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ArcadeAction
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1.7x vs typical
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≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
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41 reviews
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Mystery DungeonMining
Spooky Station
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
$4.99
401 reviews
Very Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Lost Scale: Part One
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GoreLooter Shooter
CRYODEATH VR
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Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.6x vs typical
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$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
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MAZE: A VR Adventure
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VRProcedural Generation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.