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How many copies did Hexagun sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 115–187
$221–$595 after Steam's cut $402–$915 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hexagun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hexagun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 80k–499k
best case 677k (Bejeweled® 3)
Games like Hexagun

A typical game among these

≈ 80k–499k copies

≈ $59k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bejeweled® 3 at ≈ 516k–838k copies, ≈ $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 404.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (7 of 8) and Arcade (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Match 3, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Intergalactic Bubbles
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zuma's Revenge!
2009
Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$307k–$826k after Steam's cut $559k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
hexceed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual
Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Hexis
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before Steam's cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
CasualCo-op
My Cute Commissar
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$1.99
459 reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Metacell: Genesis ARCADE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
11 reviews
Positive
IndieCasual

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