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How many copies did Metacell: Genesis ARCADE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Metacell: Genesis ARCADE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Metacell: Genesis ARCADE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 252–7k
best case 568k (Zuma Deluxe)
Games like Metacell: Genesis ARCADE

A typical game among these

≈ 252–7k copies

≈ $301–$14k after Steam's cut

from ~9 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Zuma Deluxe at ≈ 433k–703k copies, ≈ $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 6 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Match 3 (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Puzzle, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
761x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Super Star Path
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
47x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$117k before Steam's cut
$4.99
423 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpBullet Hell
32 in 1 Game Special
2022
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$204–$548 after Steam's cut $371–$843 before Steam's cut
$2.99
10 reviews
Positive
CasualArcade
Zumba Garden
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
$2.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
CasualMatch 3
Pew Pew Puzzle Defense
2020
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$239–$640 after Steam's cut $434–$985 before Steam's cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Match 3Tower Defense
Sneak In: a sphere matcher game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$551–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
27 reviews
Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Wall Shooter
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
IndieVR
Space Bubbles Must Die!
2025
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
$2.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
CasualAction

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