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How many copies did Space Bubbles Must Die! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Space Bubbles Must Die! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Space Bubbles Must Die!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 431k–622k
best case 677k (Bejeweled® 3)
Games like Space Bubbles Must Die!

A typical game among these

≈ 431k–622k copies

≈ $831k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bejeweled® 3 at ≈ 516k–838k copies, ≈ $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Match 3, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Chains
2009
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
610 reviews
Mostly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Intergalactic Bubbles
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Spooky Bonus
2015
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$203k before Steam's cut
$9.99
366 reviews
Very Positive
CasualMatch 3
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Zuma's Revenge!
2009
Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$307k–$826k after Steam's cut $559k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
My Cute Commissar
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$1.99
459 reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Dungeon Hearts
2013
Est. copies
≈ 34k–56k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $51k–$117k before Steam's cut
$2.99
545 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.