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How many copies did EdgeOfTheAbyssAwaken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–24k
$76k–$203k after Steam's cut $138k–$313k before Steam's cut
from 584 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid EdgeOfTheAbyssAwaken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EdgeOfTheAbyssAwaken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–4.2M
best case 8.5M (DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin)
Games like EdgeOfTheAbyssAwaken

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–4.2M copies

≈ $9.9M–$42.6M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin at ≈ 6.5M–10.5M copies, ≈ $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Souls-like (7 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Nioh 2 – The Complete Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.3M–$46.5M after Steam's cut $31.4M–$71.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction
Tails of Iron
2021
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGSouls-like
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Exanima
2015
Est. copies
≈ 683k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
PhysicsRPG
DARK SOULS™: Prepare To Die™ Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
79k reviews
Very Positive
DARK SOULS™ II
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.6M after Steam's cut $52.5M–$119.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mixed
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

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