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How many copies did POLE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
from 397 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid POLE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including POLE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–194k
best case 511k (SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS)
Games like POLE

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–194k copies

≈ $47k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS at ≈ 389k–633k copies, ≈ $5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 342 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Platformer, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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Mixed
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Into the Sinkhole
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OlliOlli World
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≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$253k–$679k after Steam's cut $459k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 389k–633k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action3D Platformer
Sonic Lost World
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Est. copies
≈ 274k–446k
4.2x vs typical
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$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
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Meme Run 2
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≈ 2k–3k
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≈ 20k–32k
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$108k–$291k after Steam's cut $197k–$448k before Steam's cut
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ActionPlatformer
The Plucky Squire
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Est. copies
≈ 105k–171k
3.2x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$868k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer

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