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How many copies did Rad Rodgers - Radical Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$138k before Steam's cut
from 199 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rad Rodgers - Radical Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rad Rodgers - Radical Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 944–1k
best case 5k (Into the Sinkhole)
Games like Rad Rodgers - Radical Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 944–1k copies

≈ $2k–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~30 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Into the Sinkhole at ≈ 4k–7k copies, ≈ $1k–$3k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 35.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (7 of 8) and 3D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2.5D + Platformer, priced around $4. The breakout hits carry Cute + 2.5D + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HopDodge
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Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
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Positive
ExplorationSide Scroller
Naginata
2020
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
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Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Mussoumano: Ataque dos Haters
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.1x vs typical
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$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$4.99
62 reviews
Mixed
2.5DPlatformer
Fiz and the Rainbow Planet
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$9.99
71 reviews
Very Positive
ActionSide Scroller
Dongo Adventure
2018
Est. copies
≈ 882–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$483–$1k after Steam's cut $878–$2k before Steam's cut
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IndieAdventure
Webventure
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$2.99
79 reviews
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AdventureCo-op
Into the Sinkhole
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
165 reviews
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Precision PlatformerExploration
Worm Runner
2022
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
32 reviews
Mixed
CasualArcade

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