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How many copies did Fiz and the Rainbow Planet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 71 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fiz and the Rainbow Planet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fiz and the Rainbow Planet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 147–811
best case 7k (The Tenth Line)
Games like Fiz and the Rainbow Planet

A typical game among these

≈ 147–811 copies

≈ $338–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~13 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Tenth Line at ≈ 5k–9k copies, ≈ $12k–$32k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 7 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (6 of 8) and 2.5D (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Female Protagonist, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry JRPG + Female Protagonist + 1990's; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SingleplayerRunner

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