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How many copies did Ascent of the Dragon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$176–$475 after Steam's cut $320–$730 before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ascent of the Dragon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ascent of the Dragon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–83k
best case 328k (BIT.TRIP RUNNER)
Games like Ascent of the Dragon

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–83k copies

≈ $38k–$269k after Steam's cut

from ~898 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BIT.TRIP RUNNER at ≈ 250k–406k copies, ≈ $686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 731 reviews in their first month; the range was 258 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Runner (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Platformer, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Nitro Express
2025
Est. copies
≈ 28k–46k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$100k–$270k after Steam's cut $182k–$415k before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Side Scroller2D Platformer
Monsti
2016
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$0.99
663 reviews
Mixed
IndieCasual
Dino Run DX
2015
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$131k–$353k after Steam's cut $239k–$543k before Steam's cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursPixel Graphics
Hextech Mayhem: A League of Legends Story™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$160k–$430k after Steam's cut $291k–$661k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
MusicRhythm
BIT.TRIP RUNNER
2011
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
BEHEMOTH
2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$3.99
430 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerCasual
Summer Catchers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut
$8.99
412 reviews
Very Positive
RunnerPixel Graphics
Nice Jumper
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual

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