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How big is Nice Jumper?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 10k–16k
from 345 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nice Jumper and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nice Jumper's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.5M
best case 3.9M (Broforce)
Games like Nice Jumper

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.5M copies

≈ $4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Broforce at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with America + Co-op, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
ROUNDS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFighting
Rogue Legacy
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaPlatformer
Spelunky
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue Legacy 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeMetroidvania
Sonic Mania
2017
Est. copies
≈ 995k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great Soundtrack2D
Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove
2014
Est. copies
≈ 948k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PlatformerPixel Graphics
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike

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